Who Will Win the Election - - Obama or Romney

If you are wondering who's most likely to win this presidential election, I would say that President Obama will win. I am speaking from the heart, but all the polls suggest that both candidates, the President and his challenger Mitt Romney are neck and neck with each other. Will the winning candidate win by just electoral votes and lose the popular vote, or will it be an overwhelming victory in both areas? The fact is, that no matter who is actually elected here, there will be just about as many Americans will have also voted against him. The country is divided when it comes to whom they support. Regardless of which poll you favor, regardless of what they tell you, in the end, just one of these two men will be left standing. When it comes to principles and the desires for the middle class, the majority of Americans in this country, President Obama should win hands down. When it comes to the rich and to the extremely conservative principles of the other candidate Mitt Romney, the rich will not be the deciding factor in this race.
An increasingly number of white voters are no longer supporting Barack Obama, but in mostly all other categories and races, the President is winning. Approximately 20 million voters have already voted early, and it is promising that the turnout on election day may set a new record. But the turnout in actual votes may not matter, as was the case when George W. Bush was out-beat in actual poll numbers by some 500,000 + votes. He won the electoral vote with 271, just one more than needed to win the election.
This election will be won on principles alone, regardless of the record of either candidate. Yes, Bain capital may contribute to why Mitt Romney may not get elected, or the fact that he wants to appeal 'ObamaCare', or the fact that he wants to destroy 'Planned Parenthood', or the fact that he wants to turn Medicare into a voucher system. Who's to say that he can't accomplish this, repeal Obamacare if the Democrats cannot keep the Senate or cannot regain the House, especially if Mitt Romney wins.
The President has said time and time again that if he does not win, American will no longer go forward towards a recovery, and that everything he has gained in his presidency could be lost.
Will the elderly vote for Obama or Romney. Will the women support Obama or Romney. Will the blacks support Obama or Romney. You may think that you have the answers on these questions and others that may have a profound effect on this race, but in the end, the one candidate that has the most electoral votes will decide the direction of the country.
And then there is the wake of Hurricane Sandy that devastated the east coast of the United States only a week ago. Will the voters still come out and vote? If they haven't already, I expect to see a record turnout.
One thing I'm looking forward to after the elections regarding who wins, is that all of the negative ads will be now history, or will the opposite of the winning side renew a campaign to try and discredit the winner? Regardless of who wins, Congress is expected to be split between Democrats and Republicans and this will be gridlocked more than ever.
President Obama tried in the past to favor a bi-partisan Congress. It will be interesting to see if the Congress will now turn around no matter who wins and start passing bills that would be in the best interest of the citizens of this country instead of only passing laws that benefit them.

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President Obama’s most likely path to 270 electoral votes

Posted by Chris Cillizza on November 1, 2012 at 1:41 pm   on the WASHINGTON POST

The only question anyone asks us these days is “who’s going to win?” (Second most asked question: “Why are you so dumb?”)

Honest answer: We don’t know (on either one!). President Obama retains an electoral college edge in swing states but his leads in many of those states are narrow enough that they could shrink or disappear entirely by election day. (One other observation: It is true is that Obama’s electoral college ceiling is significantly higher than Romney’s. There are plenty of scenarios where Obama wins north of 310 electoral votes while it is very tough to get Romney beyond 300 even on a very good day nationally.)

What we do know is what the most likely path to 270 electoral votes Obama and Romney will take if they are to be elected president in five days time looks like.  Below we lay out Obama’s most likely path — complete with a map courtesy of 270towin.com. Later today, we will break down Romney’s most likely path. Stay tuned!

 If President Obama wins Ohio — as well as all of the other states leaning or solidly for him — he has a relatively simple path to 270. (Though we moved Ohio to “tossup” today, we believe — and wrote — that Obama has a narrow edge in the state.)

Putting Ohio in Obama’s column, he can weather losses in swing states with strong historic Republican tilts (Virginia, North Carolina) and swing states where Romney appears to have a slight edge (Colorado, Florida) and still be re-elected with electoral votes to spare. (If he happens to win, say, Virginia or Florida, he starts to approach 300+ electoral votes.) All of that assumes, of course, that he holds on to swing-ish Democratic states (Pennsylvania, Michigan) and wins three  swing states where he enjoyed major margins in 2008 (Iowa, Nevada, and Wisconsin.)

In our map below, Obama wins 277 electoral votes to 261 for Romney. 

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Effects of Hurricane Sandy on the Election

Just a few days now before the election and you would have thought that the two Presidential Candidates would be going full force in their campaigns as they come to a close. Actually, just the opposite has happened.
Because of hurricane Sandy and the effect that it had as it swept up the east coast of the United States a few days ago, the face of the election has changed, just because of recent events the storm. The undecided vote, and even people who have watched all three debates amongst the candidates and have made decisions about their support for either candidate are taking another hard look on how a President should act in such times of a crisis.
No-one on either side of the isle, Democrat or Republican could have predicted what was to come. Events that transpired just prior to the 2012 election pretty much grounded the Presidential campaigns.
Even before this, a long awaited endorsement by Republican Colon Powell for President Obama was one of the most anticipated revelations waiting by both political parties, and shocked both the Democrats and Republicans as he chose to side with President Obama, just the second time in 2 consecutive elections, as he now supports the President for re-election.
Another political foe and main criticizer of President Obama and a major speaker at the Republican convention this year was the Governor of New Jersey, Chris Christie. In politics, the Governor was extremely critical and negative when it came to President Obama. But then comes the storm. During the course of the storm, President Obama held his hand out to the Governor and then met several times in an attempt to figure out what needs to be done to get the state back together after the crisis. The President unlike his predecessor George W. Bush, actually landed his plane in the weather stricken zones. At a time such as this, political figures really need to put politics on the back burner, and the Governor has. He is in agreement with the help and assistance that President Obama is providing, and the Governor has praised President Obama publicly in a few speeches and news gatherings within the last few days. If you are a Republican and support Mitt Romney, this would not fair too good with you. But the Governor and the President did what is needed in the course of a disaster, they came together, put away their political differences, and are now working together to help the state of New Jersey get back on its feet.
Another such political figure, New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg now supports President Obama. Why would this be so important? Because he is the one political figure, who used to be both a Republican and a Democrat, now as a registered Independent, now supports President Obama. So you might ask why this is so different, after all, Colon Powell now supports Obama. It is because the Mayor has publicly stated that he would not support any political candidate for President this election year, but then he turns around and then endorses President Obama.
Do you think that the Presidents actions during the storm may have changed his mind. Without a doubt it has. The President has demonstrated in times like these what is really important, even if now there are just a few days left before the election. He has shown that he can cross the isle, and work first hand with Republicans regardless of what they have said about him, regardless of their political affiliation.
The President is confident that he will win, even though the polls show that it is such a close tight race. But the actions of Mitt Romney at what he does not want to call a campaign event, but an event to bring people together in difficult times because of the storm, has elected to try and make people think that he is so genuine when it comes to trying to support the victims of the storm. What people may not know, is that at that event which happened a few days ago, Mitt Romney says that he urged people to come to the event with items like canned foods and non-perishable goods. What people may  also not know is that his campaign crew were given funds to purchase items like canned goods and bring them to the event, then handing them out to the crowd so that they can bring them in a line in a photo shoot with Mitt Romney. How mis-in-genuine is that? The fact that he would do such a thing is one thing, but is he really in touch with what the victims need at this time. He was acquiring the food items for the Red Cross, but the Red Cross specifically says not to donate items like food to the Red Cross. They want to make the decisions on what is purchased for the victims. How does Mitt Romney know what anyone really needs or likes anyway? The Red Cross wants monetary donations so that they can provide what people need at a given instant in time. Food sitting in one location like this is what many would call a logistics problem. Now that the food is there, whose going to handle it, move it, store it and distribute it to the people who need it. Mitt Romney wanted to portray himself as working for the people of the storm, and you even see him handling bags of food and supplies putting them on a truck.
To me, the actions of Mitt Romney are just totally just unbelievable. He is trying to portray himself as helping the needy and the poor. His time and efforts would be better served if he would give some of his millions to the people who need it. I'm not saying that this is the answer, but if the Mittster ever wanted to prove to the people of this country that he is a genuine person who desires to help people, then he should not have done what he as done at an event he doesn't call a campaign event, even though you see monitors behind him showing campaign ads. At a Friday morning rally in Hilliard, Ohio, Democratic former Gov. Ted Strickland exhorted the audience to vote for President Barack Obama because the GOP hopeful Mitt Romney and vice presidential candidate Paul Ryan have "to fake compassion".

Here is the Video from the campaign event in Strickland, Ohio....

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