10 Days Left in the Presidential Race

The race is on. Just 10 days to go. President Obama is on a mission. He is driving hard, making sure that he doesn't loose any votes that he has won so far. Romney's mission is to steel those votes. The Obama campaign feels confident that if the election were held today, at least 50% of the people in the states of North Carolina, Florida, Virginia, New Hampshire, Iowa, Colorado and Nevada would vote for him. The President is on a 48 hour fly around starting in Iowa. No sleep. Less than 2 weeks to go and the race is just too close for anyone to rest.
One faction of voters that the President feels confident in winning is the Latino vote. Immigration reform will be front and center next year, and the President now is openly admitting that next year will be the year for immigration reform.  Obama also openly states that while he will be pushing hard for immigration reform, his challenger Mitt Romney and the Republican Party have so alienated the fastest-growing demographic group in the country, the Latino community. In a revelation that shows the President is serious about immigration reform, he has recently met with a coalition of religious leaders in an effort to broach immigration reform next years. Once the President wins re-election, the two political parties will reach an agreement over the fiscal health of the United States.
Bush tax cuts are set to expire, the sequester and a commitment from Obama and Romney to reduce the deficit will be reality.

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Who is Favored to Win the Presidency - Obama or Romney?

Are you tired about all the hype on polls?  Regardless of who you think is favored in the race now after just two debates, one between the presidential candiates and the one between the vice-presidential candidates, most of the major polls show that the two candidates are running in almost a dead tie, unless you dig deeper and check the real facts.

Here are the facts....

1 - Usually the undecided voters will most likely vote for the challenger (Romney)

2 - Obama is more "likeable" than Romney  - 60% for Obama, 31% Romney according to a USA Today/Gallup poll. More likeable candidates win election at least 70% of the time.

3 - Obama holds a significant lead among women voters over Romney. 6 out of 10 women favor Obama. A Quinnipiac University poll shows that Romney is beat by Obama amongst women voters when it comes to Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania from 6 to 19 percentage points.

4 - Minority voters prefer Obama - A Pew Research poll shows that Romney is even liked less than McCain was among Hispanics, at least 27%.

5 - Romney is believed to have better business polls according to a USA Today/Gallup poll, but only by 3 percentage points 46% to 43%.

6 - Romney is favored with handling the economy by 61% to 52% for Obama.

7 - A Rasmussen Report poll released back in May showed that the country is headed into the wrong direction.

8 - Obama and Romney show to now be in a statistical tie in the state of Ohio.

9 - Romney leads Obama in Florida, according to another Quinnipiac survey, while Obama holds a lead by some 8 points in Pennsylvania.

10 - A long standing fact is that no candidate has ever won the presidency without at least winning 2 out of the 3 states of Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida.

Polls during the last 30 days may not change much, but it appears that the remaining two debates may have a deciding factor when it comes to the undecided voters. On a down note, some states have been trying to stop early voting and not allow others to vote even though they have qualified for dozens of years in the past. Recently, the courts have struck down the ideas in the states, but the Republicans have been successfull in distilling a scare factor in some voters which will keep them away from the polls.
With all of the poll data, what may actually happen is that the President may run away with some states that have always voted Republican. But the main states to watch are Pennsylvania, Florida and the one to really watch is Ohio. Whoever wins Ohio should win the Presidency.

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